According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin (BTC) remains stable around $105,000 despite the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady and ongoing Middle East geopolitical tensions, which have not pushed BTC below $100,000 for 42 days. The Fed signaled slower economic growth and higher inflation, with fewer rate cuts projected through 2027. However, derivatives data from Velo shows reduced open interest at $55.3 billion and a BTC put/call ratio of 1.13, indicating persistent de-risking. Liquidation maps from Coinglass highlight clustered leverage between $103K-$106K, raising breakout risks.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, Bitcoin BTC is trading near $105,000 with a minor 1.4% drop in 24 hours, holding above the key $100,000 support level despite escalating Middle East tensions after Trump's comments raised U.S. intervention odds to 62% on Polymarket. Corporate entities like Strategy added over 10,000 BTC and Blockchain Group acquired 182 BTC, underpinning demand, while the U.S. Senate's approval of the GENIUS Act for stablecoins signals regulatory progress. Traders are monitoring the Federal Reserve's interest-rate decision and risks from the Iran-Israel conflict, including the Nobitex hack linked to Israel.

According to @KookCapitalLLC, if the US Federal Reserve begins to issue money directly on-chain through Circle, it could reinforce USD dominance and potentially reshape the stablecoin landscape (source: Twitter). As Circle is a regulated US entity, this move would likely boost USDC's credibility and integration with traditional finance. For crypto traders, such a development could drive greater institutional adoption and liquidity for USDC pairs on major exchanges, impacting trading strategies and cross-border settlements. Monitoring Circle's relationship with US regulators is crucial for anticipating shifts in the stablecoin and broader crypto market.

According to @StockMKTNewz, the upcoming week in the stock market is packed with high-impact catalysts, including key earnings reports, Federal Reserve commentary, and major economic data releases (source: @StockMKTNewz, Twitter). Traders should closely monitor these events, as volatility in equities often translates into price swings in the cryptocurrency market. Historically, Fed policy updates and earnings surprises from tech giants have influenced BTC and ETH price action due to shifts in risk appetite and liquidity flows. Staying alert to these macro events can help crypto traders anticipate potential market moves and volatility (source: @StockMKTNewz, Twitter).

According to The Kobeissi Letter, citing a recent Federal Reserve study, every $10 increase in oil prices can drive U.S. CPI inflation up by 20 basis points. With oil prices having risen approximately $20 since April, traders should anticipate a potential 40 basis point rise in CPI. This uptick in inflation could increase expectations for tighter monetary policy, which historically puts downward pressure on both equity and crypto markets. Crypto traders, especially those holding BTC and ETH, should monitor upcoming CPI reports and energy price trends closely as increased inflation may lead to higher market volatility and impact risk sentiment. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, June 22, 2025.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, oil markets have been partially pricing in risk as shipments through the Hormuz Strait have steadily declined since June 13, 2025 (source: @KobeissiLetter, Twitter). While the current situation is not a full shutdown, which would be the worst-case scenario, the observed decline could impact global inflation expectations and trigger Federal Reserve rate hikes if disruptions worsen. For cryptocurrency traders, renewed rate hike risks typically put downward pressure on BTC and ETH prices by strengthening the US dollar and reducing risk appetite across digital assets. Monitoring oil shipment trends and central bank responses is crucial for anticipating market volatility.

According to Crypto Rover, the probability of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve at the September FOMC meeting has surged to over 71%, based on CME Group data (source: Crypto Rover on Twitter, June 21, 2025). This sharp increase in rate cut expectations is historically correlated with bullish momentum for cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), as lower interest rates typically drive more liquidity into risk assets. Traders are closely monitoring this development for potential short-term and mid-term price rallies across the crypto sector.

According to Crypto Rover, President Trump stated he might reconsider his previous decision to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, a move that could significantly impact monetary policy expectations and influence Bitcoin (BTC) and crypto market volatility (source: Crypto Rover, Twitter, June 21, 2025). Traders are closely monitoring potential changes at the Fed, as leadership uncertainty historically affects USD liquidity and risk-on assets, including top cryptocurrencies.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the US economic surprise index fell to -23 points on Tuesday, marking the lowest level in 9 months and the largest decline outside of 2024 in three years (source: The Kobeissi Letter, Twitter, June 19, 2025). This index, which tracks economic data relative to analyst expectations, signals that recent US economic releases have consistently underperformed forecasts. Historically, such negative surprises have weighed on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH, as traders anticipate potential monetary policy adjustments or market volatility. Crypto traders should closely monitor macroeconomic data releases and the Federal Reserve’s response, as these could drive significant price action across digital assets.

According to KookCapitalLLC, the market's positive reaction following the latest Federal Reserve announcement is seen as a supportive factor for Bitcoin (BTC) price momentum. This sentiment is echoed by traders who view dovish central bank signals as bullish for risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies. Historically, favorable Fed reactions have often led to increased BTC inflows and higher trading volumes, suggesting traders could see short-term opportunities. Source: Twitter (@KookCapitalLLC, June 18, 2025).

According to @federalreserve, the FOMC left interest rates unchanged as expected, offering no surprises to financial markets. Recent data trends suggest a higher likelihood of rate cuts later in 2024, but short-term inflation projections have been revised upward while long-term inflation is expected to remain flat at 3% (source: Federal Reserve FOMC Statement, June 2024). These updated inflation expectations and the steady rate decision are key for crypto traders, as persistent inflation could sustain demand for store-of-value assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and impact liquidity conditions across digital assets. Any further economic instability may prompt policy shifts, potentially fueling volatility in the cryptocurrency markets.

According to Stock Talk (@stocktalkweekly), the latest Federal Reserve dot plot projects two 0.25% rate cuts in 2025, one 0.25% cut in 2026, and one 0.25% cut in 2027. This means interest rates are expected to be just 1% lower by the end of 2027 compared to current levels (source: Stock Talk Twitter, June 18, 2025). For cryptocurrency traders, this gradual and limited rate-cutting pace signals that USD liquidity will remain relatively tight, which may dampen bullish momentum for BTC and ETH. The restrained rate path could slow capital inflows into risk assets and delay a major crypto rally, emphasizing the need for cautious trading strategies in the current macro environment.

According to Cas Abbé on Twitter, the Federal Reserve has left interest rates unchanged as anticipated, setting the stage for potential market movement depending on Chair Powell’s upcoming statement (source: @cas_abbe, June 18, 2025). This decision keeps liquidity conditions stable for now, which supports ongoing investor interest in cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH. Traders are closely watching Powell’s remarks for any policy hints that could trigger volatility across both traditional and crypto markets.

According to Evan (@StockMKTNewz), President Trump stated that interest rates should be two points lower, and it would be preferable if they were 2.5 points lower. This statement puts pressure on the Federal Reserve and could signal a dovish shift in US monetary policy. Lower interest rates historically benefit risk assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), as cheaper borrowing costs and reduced yields on traditional assets can drive more capital into the cryptocurrency market. Traders should monitor upcoming Fed statements for confirmation and be prepared for increased volatility in BTC and ETH prices if rate cut expectations rise. Source: Evan (@StockMKTNewz), June 18, 2025.

According to Crypto Rover, US initial jobless claims came in at 245,000, slightly below the expected 246,000 (source: Crypto Rover on Twitter, June 18, 2025). This marginally better-than-anticipated labor data suggests continued resilience in the US job market, which may reduce immediate expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts. For cryptocurrency traders, especially those holding BTC and ETH, such data can signal short-term US dollar strength, potentially leading to increased volatility or downward pressure in crypto prices as risk appetite shifts (source: Crypto Rover). Traders should monitor upcoming macroeconomic releases for further direction.

According to StockMKTNewz, markets have priced in a 99.9% probability that the Federal Reserve, led by Jerome Powell, will keep interest rates unchanged at the upcoming FOMC meeting on June 19, 2025 (Source: StockMKTNewz on Twitter). While the rate decision is widely anticipated, traders should focus on the Summary of Economic Projections, set for release at 2PM ET. This report will provide critical insights into the Fed’s economic outlook and potential future rate paths, which are key market movers for both stocks and cryptocurrency assets. Crypto traders, especially those holding BTC and ETH, should prepare for possible volatility as new Fed guidance could impact risk sentiment and capital flows into digital assets (Source: StockMKTNewz on Twitter).

According to Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), Bitcoin (BTC) is testing a crucial resistance level at the start of the week, signaling potential momentum for traders. Concurrently, gold's consolidation phase is translating into immediate upward momentum for altcoins, suggesting a possible rotation of capital within crypto markets. Market participants are closely monitoring developments from the Middle East and upcoming Federal Reserve announcements for any news-driven volatility that could impact crypto price action. Traders should pay attention to these macro events as altcoin markets approach a pivotal point. Source: @CryptoMichNL (June 16, 2025).

According to The Kobeissi Letter, US initial jobless claims reached 248,000 for the week ending June 7th, marking the highest level since October 2024. The largest numbers were reported in California, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania. This increase pushed the 4-week moving average higher, signaling a softening labor market. Historically, rising jobless claims often trigger risk-off sentiment in traditional and crypto markets, as traders anticipate potential shifts in Federal Reserve policy or economic growth. Crypto traders should monitor this trend, as increased macroeconomic uncertainty may lead to higher volatility for assets like BTC and ETH. Source: The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter).

According to Crypto Rover, both the European Central Bank (ECB) and China have implemented interest rate cuts, fueling expectations that the US Federal Reserve may follow suit soon (source: Crypto Rover on Twitter, June 14, 2025). For traders, synchronized global rate reductions typically increase liquidity, which historically supports bullish momentum in cryptocurrency markets, especially for assets like Bitcoin (BTC). Close attention should be paid to upcoming Fed meetings, as a US rate cut could trigger increased volatility and upward price action in BTC and other major crypto assets.

According to Crypto Rover, both China and Europe have recently cut interest rates, and there is growing anticipation that the US Federal Reserve (FED) will follow suit (source: Crypto Rover on Twitter, June 13, 2025). These coordinated monetary policy shifts are typically seen as bullish for risk assets, including major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). Historically, lower interest rates drive investors to seek higher returns in alternative assets such as crypto, potentially leading to significant inflows of capital. Traders should monitor central bank announcements closely, as rate cuts by the FED could act as a strong catalyst for upward price movement in the crypto market (source: Crypto Rover on Twitter, June 13, 2025).